Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000209 0.000234 0.000261 0.000291 0.000325 0.000362 0.000404
2025-06-01 0.000170 0.000202 0.000240 0.000285 0.000338 0.000400 0.000475
2025-06-08 0.000143 0.000180 0.000224 0.000282 0.000353 0.000439 0.000550
2025-06-15 0.000123 0.000163 0.000214 0.000281 0.000369 0.000480 0.000631
2025-06-22 0.000107 0.000148 0.000202 0.000278 0.000381 0.000516 0.000707
2025-06-29 0.000096 0.000139 0.000197 0.000282 0.000402 0.000565 0.000804
2025-07-06 0.000087 0.000130 0.000191 0.000284 0.000418 0.000608 0.000896
2025-07-13 0.000078 0.000121 0.000183 0.000281 0.000429 0.000643 0.000977
2025-07-20 0.000072 0.000116 0.000182 0.000288 0.000453 0.000699 0.001095
2025-07-27 0.000067 0.000111 0.000178 0.000290 0.000470 0.000745 0.001199
2025-08-03 0.000061 0.000105 0.000174 0.000291 0.000483 0.000786 0.001299
2025-08-10 0.000056 0.000098 0.000167 0.000287 0.000490 0.000818 0.001385
2025-08-17 0.000052 0.000094 0.000164 0.000290 0.000508 0.000869 0.001509
2025-08-24 0.000047 0.000088 0.000159 0.000287 0.000516 0.000904 0.001609
2025-08-31 0.000044 0.000084 0.000154 0.000286 0.000527 0.000945 0.001722
2025-09-07 0.000041 0.000080 0.000151 0.000287 0.000541 0.000992 0.001850
2025-09-14 0.000037 0.000075 0.000146 0.000285 0.000549 0.001029 0.001961
2025-09-21 0.000035 0.000073 0.000145 0.000289 0.000571 0.001092 0.002124
2025-09-28 0.000033 0.000071 0.000143 0.000291 0.000587 0.001144 0.002272
2025-10-05 0.000031 0.000067 0.000138 0.000289 0.000594 0.001182 0.002394
2025-10-12 0.000030 0.000066 0.000139 0.000296 0.000622 0.001260 0.002600
2025-10-19 0.000028 0.000064 0.000137 0.000298 0.000638 0.001318 0.002771
2025-10-26 0.000026 0.000061 0.000135 0.000299 0.000652 0.001370 0.002933